Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001812 0.001987 0.002162 0.002350 0.002547 0.002746 0.002961
2024-12-15 0.001544 0.001799 0.002062 0.002352 0.002661 0.002981 0.003333
2024-12-22 0.001361 0.001679 0.002015 0.002394 0.002807 0.003239 0.003725
2024-12-29 0.001209 0.001576 0.001975 0.002434 0.002943 0.003483 0.004098
2025-01-05 0.001072 0.001479 0.001931 0.002462 0.003059 0.003701 0.004439
2025-01-12 0.000939 0.001374 0.001870 0.002463 0.003139 0.003876 0.004730
2025-01-19 0.000814 0.001268 0.001799 0.002445 0.003193 0.004017 0.004980
2025-01-26 0.000723 0.001194 0.001760 0.002460 0.003281 0.004192 0.005266
2025-02-02 0.000642 0.001128 0.001725 0.002475 0.003363 0.004360 0.005541
2025-02-09 0.000593 0.001098 0.001730 0.002535 0.003498 0.004584 0.005878
2025-02-16 0.000575 0.001107 0.001784 0.002652 0.003697 0.004882 0.006298
2025-02-23 0.000465 0.000980 0.001658 0.002547 0.003630 0.004871 0.006364
2025-03-02 0.000386 0.000893 0.001581 0.002499 0.003633 0.004941 0.006527
2025-03-09 0.000337 0.000844 0.001552 0.002510 0.003704 0.005091 0.006779
2025-03-16 0.000306 0.000820 0.001554 0.002559 0.003821 0.005294 0.007094
2025-03-23 0.000277 0.000796 0.001554 0.002605 0.003933 0.005490 0.007399
2025-03-30 0.000246 0.000766 0.001544 0.002636 0.004026 0.005664 0.007678
2025-04-06 0.000210 0.000723 0.001514 0.002638 0.004082 0.005793 0.007905
2025-04-13 0.000173 0.000673 0.001469 0.002621 0.004112 0.005889 0.008092
2025-04-20 0.000148 0.000642 0.001452 0.002637 0.004184 0.006035 0.008337
2025-04-27 0.000126 0.000612 0.001434 0.002653 0.004253 0.006176 0.008576
2025-05-04 0.000115 0.000607 0.001453 0.002716 0.004382 0.006390 0.008900
2025-05-11 0.000117 0.000628 0.001513 0.002837 0.004585 0.006694 0.009330